shabbysalta
0xf67e09f19d4485f297457f9ad6f70a03112ba55c
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $16.13M
- Markets traded
- 782
- Open portfolio
- $72.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded782
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $30.0k | +$15.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $23.6k | −$11.78 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.1k | +$9.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $18.41 | +$6.15 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.8kat 0.427Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$1.3kat 0.836Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?
- +$291.84at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$255.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$255.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.27 |
| 09-17 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $969.46 |
| 09-17 11:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.6k |
| 09-15 13:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 09-14 12:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.30 |
| 09-13 02:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 09-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.08 |
| 09-11 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 09-11 00:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.9989460531 | $1.3k |
| 09-11 00:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $203.01 |
| 09-10 14:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 09-10 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.7k |
| 09-10 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989609575 | $4.8k |
| 09-08 15:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |