wuntun
0xf67c4e112daac6ba413a4b99f3a54d998c7afac4
- Realised P&L
- $-53.84
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $16.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.974 | $16.01 | −$0.32 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.44 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.36 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.39 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.24 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.29 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.22 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.29 |
| Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.44at 0.310US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$17.26at 0.755US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$12.17at 0.543Will Solana reach $100 in March?
- +$11.66at 0.210Heat vs. Pacers
- +$11.42at 0.530Oilers vs. Sharks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:53 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? | BUY | 0.993 | $16.33 |
| 09-28 10:00 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.659999986 | $12.29 |
| 09-18 07:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.8099999894 | $10.66 |
| 08-28 07:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999817 | $9.18 |
| 08-10 10:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.03 |
| 07-22 11:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.919999997 | $12.38 |
| 07-17 08:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.24 |
| 07-09 11:47 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10? | BUY | 0.032999994 | $5.29 |
| 07-04 08:22 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7? | BUY | 0.9599999897 | $37.39 |
| 06-27 10:06 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999877 | $4.49 |
| 06-21 11:02 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.952999999 | $39.29 |
| 06-12 08:14 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.36 |
| 06-04 08:35 | Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.35 |
| 05-28 08:20 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.075471027 | $6.80 |
| 05-17 10:44 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3299999855 | $10.44 |