PolyBot

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Traders

smartiz1989

0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$811.9k
Markets traded
434
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded434
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2710.145$1.3k−$1.1k
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.5420.095$389.67−$1.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2510.065$334.98−$958.65
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3960.160$161.19−$238.81
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4050.175$140.00−$183.99
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2420.055$110.00−$375.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$58.95
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7900.000$0.00−$158.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 16? · Yes0.4890.000$0.00−$56.48
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? · No0.9360.000$0.00−$284.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? · Yes0.9660.000$0.00−$82.80
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$46.36
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$16.07
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 05:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?SELL0.03$2.07
08-30 01:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?BUY0.4$8.36
08-30 01:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?BUY0.36$7.20
08-30 01:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?BUY0.36$10.08
08-29 06:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?SELL0.292$21.90
08-29 04:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.55$3.30
08-29 04:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.59$5.90
08-29 04:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?SELL0.1936047175$10.18
08-29 04:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.542$5.42
08-29 04:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?BUY0.37$17.60
08-29 04:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?BUY0.36$1.80
08-29 04:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.64$5.12
08-29 04:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.66$3.30
08-29 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?BUY0.9$27.00
08-29 03:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.65$6.50