smartiz1989
0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $811.9k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.301Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$1.3kat 0.472Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$929.65at 0.642Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$892.71at 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$615.99at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.07 |
| 08-30 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.36 |
| 08-30 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-30 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.08 |
| 08-29 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.292 | $21.90 |
| 08-29 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.30 |
| 08-29 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 08-29 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.1936047175 | $10.18 |
| 08-29 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.542 | $5.42 |
| 08-29 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.37 | $17.60 |
| 08-29 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-29 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 08-29 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-29 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 08-29 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |