LYM1216
0xf665e400d1f7ac9980ee15ab4fafc7e6e5867025
- Realised P&L
- $38.64
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.45at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 14?
- +$14.17at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?
- +$13.10at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?
- +$8.38at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2612902692 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4524589872 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.96 | $11.61 |
| 08-07 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.9542016807 | $18.17 |
| 08-07 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.932 | $5.61 |
| 08-07 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4135337892 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.085499316 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.9777849294 | $12.46 |
| 08-06 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.1013432889 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2727272727 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |