0xF66241A33f581a53Cf91b5217C9AB523B4Cd8bB7-1761673679636
0xf66241a33f581a53cf91b5217c9ab523b4cd8bb7
- Realised P&L
- $360.75
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $33.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.35at 0.470Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$111.72at 0.268Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$63.23at 0.042Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on August 29?
- +$59.00at 0.410US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$52.48at 0.125Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.92 |
| 09-18 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.97 |
| 09-18 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.40 |
| 09-17 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.05 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 09-16 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-16 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 03:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-15 01:29 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.28 |