PolyBot

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Traders

yapitayaya

0xf661606d8e890660ff21254f8c1500613b48a08c

Realised P&L
$-70.30
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$11.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4330.140$4.85−$10.15
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.3310.045$2.72−$17.28
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.036$2.56−$6.54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$1.58−$8.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.5760.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2830.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? · No0.2690.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.1690.000$0.00−$10.00
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.4590.000$0.00−$9.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.3590.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.4530.000$0.00−$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.3970.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 14:21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?BUY0.64$70.00
03-10 14:18Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?BUY0.5699999926$20.00
03-07 09:27Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?BUY0.7799999938$20.00
03-07 09:26Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?BUY0.2690017792$7.00
03-07 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.7090049738$9.79
03-07 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.6199999628$4.86
03-07 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.4794246731$9.69
03-07 09:13S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.19$7.60
03-06 07:31Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?BUY0.289999964$5.00
03-06 07:31Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
03-06 07:28Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
03-06 07:27Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?BUY0.5599999895$15.00
03-06 07:14S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
03-05 08:47GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
03-05 08:42Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY0.5099999796$5.00