yapitayaya
0xf661606d8e890660ff21254f8c1500613b48a08c
- Realised P&L
- $-70.30
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $11.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.74at 0.626Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$39.38at 0.640S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?
- +$23.03at 0.291Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$22.63at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$22.00at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 14:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $70.00 |
| 03-10 14:18 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 09:27 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 09:26 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | 0.2690017792 | $7.00 |
| 03-07 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7090049738 | $9.79 |
| 03-07 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $4.86 |
| 03-07 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4794246731 | $9.69 |
| 03-07 09:13 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 03-06 07:31 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 07:31 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 07:28 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 07:27 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | BUY | 0.5599999895 | $15.00 |
| 03-06 07:14 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 08:47 | GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 08:42 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |