PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luckyapple

0xf65eef448d82941315f61e4f122f6256e57fd65a

Realised P&L
$-275.69
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$109.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9610.986$51.73+$1.31
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6500.900$25.92+$7.20
City Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8400.805$16.91−$0.73
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5900.700$14.70+$2.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$8.47
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$81.00
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:44GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.72$21.59
07-11 11:27Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1625$16.25
07-06 03:19Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.24$24.00
07-05 13:46Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$27.50
07-04 22:57Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?BUY0.71$21.29
07-04 10:14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.077$8.47
07-04 10:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.063$12.60
07-03 00:54Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?BUY0.802539$80.25
07-03 00:49Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?BUY0.745918$74.59
07-02 01:00Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?BUY0.16$11.20
07-01 17:52Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?BUY0.75$15.00
07-01 11:03Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.77$23.10
06-30 02:53Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?BUY0.82$90.20
06-30 02:46Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.6$12.00
06-30 02:45Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.57$22.80