0xF65D2975c310bf5dfEEDC504FDDaB3039B8Ca17A-1761221616199
0xf65d2975c310bf5dfeedc504fddab3039b8ca17a
- Realised P&L
- $-167.60
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $45.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.029 | $43.20 | −$180.09 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$1.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.62at 0.150Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$50.00at 0.500Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$35.90at 0.551Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$31.28at 0.300Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$29.86at 0.085Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 04:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 10-16 04:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 10-16 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 10-16 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $4.04 |
| 10-16 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $12.47 |
| 10-16 04:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.00 |
| 10-16 04:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $33.12 |
| 10-16 04:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 04:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0100877228 | $12.76 |
| 08-18 05:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.60 |
| 08-18 05:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 08-18 05:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-18 05:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 08-18 05:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 07-25 07:44 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.126 | $102.58 |