PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

grayisdiao

0xf6516646c67b613ec3b5ab55be1b1b96e8ed7318

Realised P&L
$-241.60
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
1,130
Open portfolio
$50.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,130
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.0460.270$4.80+$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.0460.160$2.60+$1.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25? · Yes0.0300.405$2.23+$2.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 25? · Yes0.0400.075$1.39+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.0500.255$1.27+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? · Yes0.0500.085$1.24+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 25? · Yes0.0200.065$1.02+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 25? · Yes0.0360.075$1.01+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? · Yes0.0500.125$0.97+$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.0330.050$0.97+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.0500.115$0.97+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.0500.050$0.87+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 25? · Yes0.0420.045$0.80+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.0210.025$0.72+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? · Yes0.0300.080$0.70+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 08:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 27?SELL0.01$1.18
08-26 08:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 26?SELL0.001$0.40
08-26 08:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 26?SELL0.0127416142$2.37
08-26 07:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 26?SELL0.01$1.11