grayisdiao
0xf6516646c67b613ec3b5ab55be1b1b96e8ed7318
- Realised P&L
- $-241.60
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,130
- Open portfolio
- $50.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,130
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.69at 0.043Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?
- +$29.33at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18?
- +$23.19at 0.039Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?
- +$21.58at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23?
- +$20.32at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.18 |
| 08-26 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 08-26 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.0127416142 | $2.37 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.11 |