0xF63DD3A445f9bEC70d3Aa2E0aeD038F9B31e43A2-1773240036814
0xf63dd3a445f9bec70d3aa2e0aed038f9b31e43a2
- Realised P&L
- $-50.37
- Volume
- $576.75
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $18.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.36at 0.440Will Trump say "Win Win Win" during Kentucky visit?
- +$6.11at 0.450Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?
- +$5.63at 0.470Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?
- +$4.47at 0.528Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
- +$3.33at 0.600Will Trump say "Darling" or "Honey" during Women's History Month event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:20 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6299999805 | $5.50 |
| 09-27 14:20 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 14:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 04-10 16:50 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $16.67 |
| 04-10 16:50 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.93 |
| 04-10 16:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.56 |
| 04-01 19:05 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999963 | $17.00 |
| 04-01 19:02 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 04-01 19:02 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 21:20 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5169999973 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 16:19 | Will Powell say "War" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.45 |
| 03-13 16:19 | Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.0270181884 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 06:17 | Will "Elon" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 06:17 | Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 03-13 06:17 | Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |