PolyBot

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Traders

mmzhu3

0xf639a53def726cf9e22c49afc8d9f904699cefd8

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$206.6k
Markets traded
2,976
Open portfolio
$89.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,976
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? · Up0.5230.525$25.89+$0.09
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12? · Yes0.5110.305$15.64−$10.56
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? · Yes0.6000.585$11.70−$0.30
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.6400.560$11.20−$1.60
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · Yes0.5600.575$10.27+$0.27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · Yes0.8300.835$8.35+$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? · Yes0.5500.425$3.86−$1.14
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12? · Yes0.1360.081$2.91−$1.99
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.5080.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2730.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.5580.000$0.00−$8.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.40
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 05:08Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?BUY0.64$3.20
10-12 05:07Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?BUY0.6$12.00
10-12 05:05Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?BUY0.54$16.20
10-12 05:04Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?BUY0.1639999993$1.00
10-12 04:45Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
10-12 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.6199999835$6.00
10-12 04:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.549999945$5.00
10-12 04:42Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-11 23:22Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
10-11 23:21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.83$4.15
10-11 23:19Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-11 02:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ETBUY0.39$7.80
10-10 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.83$8.30
10-10 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6AM ETBUY0.21$6.30
10-09 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5AM ETBUY0.2115072761$15.00