PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ragrazila

0xf6384f10620004fffc0b1b1e6c441094ede21611

Realised P&L
$-192.79
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$21.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3500.065$16.71$73.29
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.013$5.28$14.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 20:20Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.86$109.11
03-20 18:05US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.189999991$16.67
03-20 18:05Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.7$15.67
03-15 06:20Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0589999946$10.00
03-15 06:20Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.37$10.57
03-14 01:52US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.012$15.00
03-13 20:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
03-03 18:48US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
03-02 20:10Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
03-02 20:10Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0492644085$20.00
03-02 19:59Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6699999882$50.00
03-02 19:57Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6699999882$50.00
03-01 03:33Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.002$0.37
02-28 09:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.5399999981$100.00
02-28 07:31US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?SELL0.992$365.07