0xf6354c6d7029fb402a052a99cb1cb1cf0cb28c1f
0xf6354c6d7029fb402a052a99cb1cb1cf0cb28c1f
- Realised P&L
- $4.62
- Volume
- $215.79
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $11.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $2.27 | −$0.02 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.400 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.495 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.835 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · No | 0.410 | 0.470 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.605 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.430 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.620 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.500 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.505 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.54at 0.217Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$5.82at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$5.49at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.90at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.69at 0.460US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:28 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:20 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:06 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:56 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:45 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:05 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:04 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999367 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 16:29 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 07:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999126 | $2.29 |