hdhsjw
0xf62f20c2eaa92bf79d02680fcbb4eb927d29f36a
- Realised P&L
- $5.85
- Volume
- $62.92
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.755 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.570 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Spirit | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.82at 0.361Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
- +$0.97at 0.218Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.87at 0.701Will France win on 2026-09-25?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$0.61at 0.769Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:11 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:10 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:10 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 23:22 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:48 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:48 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 02:58 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 02:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:23 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 03:35 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 03:35 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.654 | $1.16 |
| 10-08 14:13 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:51 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.433 | $2.03 |
| 10-05 06:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |