0xf62a42819d51e492fb3ee61b9d2317ff5d9d3662
0xf62a42819d51e492fb3ee61b9d2317ff5d9d3662
- Realised P&L
- $3.76
- Volume
- $216.13
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $7.64
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.957 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B? · No | 0.720 | 0.925 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.835 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.495 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.380 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.620 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.375 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.278Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.34at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.52at 0.379S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:09 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:19 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:45 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:51 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |