aboutf2
0xf62a20b8cd8fa56cb72e1b85424bba53e4614d10
- Realised P&L
- $-234.99
- Volume
- $61.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.993 | 0.991 | $9.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.989 | 0.990 | $8.01 | +$0.01 |
| Canucks vs. Predators · Predators | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.800Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.07at 0.560Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.59at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?
- +$0.45at 0.899Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$0.41at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $2.50 |
| 10-07 02:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 03:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.987999755 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999972 | $3.50 |
| 08-22 05:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999637 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 03:18 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.9289999647 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 03:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 07:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9949998744 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9789999977 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 14:15 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 14:15 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9939999938 | $9.00 |