liusha
0xf6262fee1a2e685257aff37a6b484b32ce4069f0
- Realised P&L
- $745.03
- Volume
- $328.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $6.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.048 | $6.24 | −$19.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$980.00at 0.730Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- +$364.99at 0.757Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$162.00at 0.770Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
- +$121.62at 0.635Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
- +$109.00at 0.650Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 02:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.9k |
| 10-21 02:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $365.00 |
| 10-19 08:34 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.4k |
| 10-19 08:02 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-19 08:01 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.4k |
| 10-19 03:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.4k |
| 10-15 02:16 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.2k |
| 10-15 02:07 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.7k |
| 10-14 07:57 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.24 |
| 10-14 07:41 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.6k |
| 10-14 07:40 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.0k |
| 10-14 07:39 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.8k |
| 10-14 02:52 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.9k |
| 10-14 02:51 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.7k |
| 10-13 02:01 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.7k |