bignuts48
0xf625c29b36b993c01837a36f88f40efb117b7bcc
- Realised P&L
- $-41.16
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes | 0.757 | 0.510 | $1.94 | −$0.94 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.145 | $1.45 | −$2.60 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.042 | $0.21 | −$2.29 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$3.98 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41at 0.680Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
- +$0.90at 0.500Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?
- +$-0.47at 0.818UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$-0.70at 0.500Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?
- +$-0.72at 0.053Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 11:47 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.19 |
| 07-27 08:21 | Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.4901960784 | $2.50 |
| 07-27 08:20 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 12:49 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-26 12:42 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-26 12:39 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.38 |
| 07-26 12:39 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.13 |
| 07-26 12:39 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 12:35 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.20 |
| 07-26 12:35 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.32 |
| 07-26 11:40 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 11:38 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 11:28 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 11:25 | Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:46 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.8 | $14.81 |