PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ylntz

0xf62351aa5ea836eee56e115918171a603f85d538

Realised P&L
$-102.70
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$45.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8000.625$31.25$8.75
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.6200.100$9.50$49.40
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.175$4.38$16.63
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? · No0.0600.000$0.00$25.00
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? · No0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Travis hunter only play offense? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$10.00
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Dodgers vs. Brewers · Dodgers0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? · No0.2290.000$0.00$100.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$16.44
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Guardians vs. Astros · Astros0.5000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 23:46Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.8$20.18
03-14 02:16Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$21.00
03-14 02:15Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.62$58.90
02-26 04:55Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1101460129$10.00
02-26 04:55Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0355768556$10.00
02-08 05:37Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.32$100.00
01-25 00:57Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?BUY0.189999988$10.00
01-25 00:57Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.0555555556$10.00
01-25 00:27Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?BUY0.0599999978$25.00
10-13 18:37Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? BUY0.2856579968$100.00
10-13 18:36Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.8227233423$14.80
10-13 18:33Will Joe Burrow win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?SELL0.003$0.50
08-15 21:04Will Joe Burrow win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?BUY0.1499999955$25.00
08-15 21:02Will Travis hunter only play offense?BUY0.0949050959$10.00
07-08 01:01Guardians vs. AstrosBUY0.5$10.00