OTNT
0xf620053d0c13cfc252c46644dd174b631819a623
- Realised P&L
- $-477.63
- Volume
- $34.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $14.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.58at 0.090US military action against Iran by Sunday?
- +$31.91at 0.204Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$27.82at 0.618US military action against Iran before July?
- +$18.43at 0.140Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 27?
- +$14.58at 0.270Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 13:46 | Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.4829999733 | $8.59 |
| 01-26 13:29 | Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 01-26 13:20 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 01-26 12:18 | Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.1259999875 | $7.90 |
| 01-26 12:16 | Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.126 | $12.60 |
| 01-26 12:16 | Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.126 | $2.52 |
| 01-26 12:14 | Will the US strike Iran next? | SELL | 0.11 | $23.02 |
| 01-26 10:38 | Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.0976213226 | $12.89 |
| 01-26 10:37 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 01-26 10:34 | Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 01-26 10:33 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1838709586 | $15.00 |
| 01-26 10:31 | Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-26 10:30 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2? | BUY | 0.1499999719 | $4.00 |
| 01-26 10:29 | Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.8689208333 | $41.71 |
| 01-25 08:21 | Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.326 | $1.65 |