PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

u4ma

0xf6176d767fa25069392fb0be2b4ee3681cd523c9

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$53.3k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$378.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.8440.770$136.29$13.10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.435$86.56$12.94
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8790.868$84.15$1.12
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.3600.345$32.08$1.39
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.3000.085$13.97$35.35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0850.081$12.48$0.70
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16? · Yes0.5300.070$7.75$51.32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7200.735$5.70+$0.12
Phan Thiet 4: Yuta Shimizu vs Philip Sekulic · Yuta Shimizu0.4800.000$0.00$49.92
Szczecin: Robert Strombachs vs Luka Mikrut · Robert Strombachs0.3300.000$0.00$49.83
Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian · Spencer Johnson0.6700.000$0.00$175.73
Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney · Alastair Gray0.2500.000$0.00$200.00
Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Alan Wazny · Alan Wazny0.2000.000$0.00$40.60
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In · Falcons Force0.4500.000$0.00$70.67
Counter-Strike: Young27 vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C · Young270.2600.000$0.00$58.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:01Biella: Alex Barrena vs Maxime ChazalSELL0.53$106.00
09-15 12:46Ljubljana: Francesca Jones vs Alja SenicaSELL0.953$13.15
09-15 12:16Biella: Alex Barrena vs Maxime ChazalBUY0.24$48.00
09-15 12:16Ljubljana: Francesca Jones vs Alja SenicaSELL0.885$48.85
09-15 11:46Rennes: Matisse Bobichon vs Eliakim CoulibalySELL0.33$3.30
09-15 11:26Ljubljana: Francesca Jones vs Alja SenicaBUY0.635826087$43.87
09-15 11:26Rennes: Matisse Bobichon vs Eliakim CoulibalyBUY0.3$46.07
09-15 11:26Szczecin: Robert Strombachs vs Luka MikrutBUY0.33$49.83
09-15 08:29Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru ShiraishiSELL0.57$54.26
09-15 08:29Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovSELL0.43$3.97
09-15 08:09LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.24$48.00
09-15 07:46Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru ShiraishiBUY0.42$49.98
09-15 07:14Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai SachSELL0.57$91.75
09-15 06:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?SELL0.98$2.59
09-15 06:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?SELL0.94$24.44