PolyBot

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Traders

0xf610482004e919446a65d06832d0233c8166741c

0xf610482004e919446a65d06832d0233c8166741c

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$525.6k
Markets traded
9,526
Open portfolio
$437.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,526
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.865$40.24+$0.23
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1200.135$33.75+$3.75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6200.992$31.98+$11.98
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8800.925$21.02+$1.02
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · No0.4900.985$19.89+$9.99
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5980.841$14.05+$4.05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.135$14.02−$5.93
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1290.085$13.14−$6.86
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · No0.6670.877$13.08+$3.13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5300.695$12.98+$3.08
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2000.555$12.75+$8.16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7400.915$12.30+$2.35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.6040.805$12.17+$3.03
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.7200.870$12.02+$2.07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8100.945$11.58+$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:33Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.6199999864$10.00
11-02 00:33Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.699999993$10.00
11-01 23:39Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
11-01 23:31Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5BUY0.5199999792$10.00
11-01 23:31Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5BUY0.4899999824$10.00
11-01 22:13Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5BUY0.3369672897$10.00
11-01 21:23Spread: Patriots (-7.5)BUY0.4499999843$10.00
11-01 20:37Spread: Raiders (-4.5)BUY0.4499999843$10.00
11-01 19:55Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5BUY0.6699999839$10.00
11-01 19:42Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 24.5BUY0.9$7.89
11-01 19:24Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5BUY0.3299999924$10.00
11-01 19:17Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5BUY0.2899999968$10.00
11-01 18:43Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5BUY0.6199999864$10.00
11-01 18:08Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 42.5BUY0.4299999991$10.00
11-01 17:19Falcons vs. BuccaneersBUY0.459999988$10.00