cartel-5
0xf6086dfb21205a0c6ffa1f2657e41464851ccd13
- Realised P&L
- $-14.22
- Volume
- $540.99
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.966 | $13.22 | +$6.72 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.036 | $1.89 | −$23.00 |
| Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5) · Olympique Lyonnais | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5) · Olympique Lyonnais | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.816Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:05 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.3799999069 | $1.47 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.3899999932 | $1.15 |
| 11-01 17:12 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.8199999476 | $2.19 |
| 11-01 14:07 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:07 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-31 16:02 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.41 |
| 10-31 04:38 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.2078387458 | $3.71 |
| 10-30 08:25 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.06 |
| 10-30 04:24 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.649999924 | $1.71 |
| 10-30 04:24 | Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.1439999934 | $1.05 |
| 10-29 16:53 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.29 |
| 10-29 14:42 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.3099999432 | $1.42 |
| 10-29 12:04 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.4299999735 | $1.95 |
| 10-29 12:03 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-29 11:19 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.22 |