0x619f3d3Ef6daCC892504B0bF241Bd834345Cb2aC-1774444509174
0xf60592e8714f2dbae06151d0d06eb1c72e3c1f48
- Realised P&L
- $-261.79
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $101.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.082 | $55.78 | −$94.22 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.110 | 0.075 | $34.09 | −$15.91 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.039 | $9.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.035 | $1.23 | −$1.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.002 | $0.14 | −$4.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$2.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.003 | $0.13 | −$4.87 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.70 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0857142857 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0115311437 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1163264119 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0707714084 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:11 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0406735137 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 20:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.219149699 | $150.00 |
| 07-14 19:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.185999999 | $142.70 |