0xf5f68Cb496Eb1B62499053305e1Eb590B5a6c40c-1769198476453
0xf5f68cb496eb1b62499053305e1eb590b5a6c40c
- Realised P&L
- $-114.98
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $20.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.019 | 0.007 | $12.85 | −$19.71 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $7.50 | −$59.48 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals · Yes | 0.339 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.73at 0.517Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
- +$2.78at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$2.72at 0.427Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
- +$2.67at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$1.33at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 15:31 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0189999994 | $32.56 |
| 08-10 15:28 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0044658388 | $66.99 |
| 06-23 18:47 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.1179998997 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 18:42 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 18:32 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 18:32 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | SELL | 0.35 | $3.24 |
| 06-23 18:14 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 17:26 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 09:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |