0xF5ed80c910a7b5E6044fF8eD48271B9C2B050CE8-1778596709817
0xf5ed80c910a7b5e6044ff8ed48271b9c2b050ce8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $63.8k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $16.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? · No | 0.370 | 0.485 | $14.50 | +$3.44 |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20? · No | 0.220 | 0.340 | $2.23 | +$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.94at 0.340Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$62.51at 0.023Will another song be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
- +$50.76at 0.024Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
- +$48.26at 0.161Will Apnimed's market cap be at least $960M at market close on IPO day?
- +$46.94at 0.324Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:29 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.30 |
| 09-18 02:29 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.44 |
| 09-18 02:29 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.44 |
| 09-18 02:24 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.52 |
| 09-18 02:23 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.52 |
| 09-18 02:22 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.02 |
| 09-18 02:18 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.97 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-16 15:38 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.48 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.48 |
| 09-16 12:42 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.3553436226 | $12.20 |
| 09-16 04:15 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | SELL | 0.78 | $10.55 |
| 09-15 05:43 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22? | BUY | 0.7 | $12.63 |
| 09-15 05:00 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20? | BUY | 0.5726636364 | $12.60 |
| 09-15 04:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.67 | $21.71 |