ms4123
0xf5de3ab6c433d3744f4c9d166e2568fbd2e80310
- Realised P&L
- $-107.94
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $108.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.00at 0.140Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$39.81at 0.160Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$39.00at 0.339Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$23.74at 0.172Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
- +$21.25at 0.320Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8415841451 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $10.45 |
| 10-06 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.44 |
| 10-06 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |