PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2481

0xf5de09a5f22f3f8e8a8c96557b89a5157918394a

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes0.0540.052$3.57$0.10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$6.90
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May? · No0.9260.000$0.00$47.23
Lakers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.2600.000$0.00$7.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:39Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?BUY0.054$3.67
08-26 11:26Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut SunBUY0.89$19.58
07-10 08:00Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.23$6.90
06-18 12:37Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.89$24.92
12-15 13:15Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?SELL0.005$0.15
11-10 11:59Lakers vs. HornetsBUY0.26$6.8k
09-14 10:28Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?BUY0.45$13.95
08-31 13:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 1?BUY0.87$27.84
07-27 12:57Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28?BUY0.96$35.52
03-12 11:20Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?BUY0.926$47.23
03-12 11:18OpenAI acquired in 2025?SELL0.83$42.33
02-21 10:55OpenAI acquired in 2025?BUY0.83$42.33
02-21 10:54Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?SELL0.962$38.48
12-22 09:28Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?BUY0.94$37.60