2481
0xf5de09a5f22f3f8e8a8c96557b89a5157918394a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $36.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.052 | $3.57 | −$0.10 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May? · No | 0.926 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.23 |
| Lakers vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.490Suns vs. Heat
- +$4.16at 0.870Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 1?
- +$3.00at 0.893Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$2.31at 0.895Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun
- +$1.48at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:39 | Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $3.67 |
| 08-26 11:26 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun | BUY | 0.89 | $19.58 |
| 07-10 08:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 06-18 12:37 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.89 | $24.92 |
| 12-15 13:15 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 11-10 11:59 | Lakers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.26 | $6.8k |
| 09-14 10:28 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.95 |
| 08-31 13:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $27.84 |
| 07-27 12:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $35.52 |
| 03-12 11:20 | Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May? | BUY | 0.926 | $47.23 |
| 03-12 11:18 | OpenAI acquired in 2025? | SELL | 0.83 | $42.33 |
| 02-21 10:55 | OpenAI acquired in 2025? | BUY | 0.83 | $42.33 |
| 02-21 10:54 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SELL | 0.962 | $38.48 |
| 12-22 09:28 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.60 |