0xf5Da8d943378c3B2A4Fc6B61D08C22bc6B94A91A-1780616184042
0xf5da8d943378c3b2a4fc6b61d08c22bc6b94a91a
- Realised P&L
- $-48.38
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.45at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$4.91at 0.507Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$4.83at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$2.88at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$2.03at 0.500Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:28 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 01:27 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 12:50 | Paraguay to score first vs. France? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 12:45 | Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 09:18 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 01:16 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4924999606 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 01:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.9975 | $3.46 |
| 07-02 22:56 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5749998994 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 19:50 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.36 |
| 07-02 02:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.744999743 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 17:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.911 | $1.93 |
| 07-01 16:33 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 12:46 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 12:46 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |