RogerKint
0xf5d6c0e4d3f1e771ecdb00eab6ac583e371eb213
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.20at 0.393Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$394.87at 0.557Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$301.29at 0.486Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
- +$280.70at 0.466Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- +$211.80at 0.569RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $30.57 |
| 09-11 14:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $34.25 |
| 09-11 14:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.38 |
| 08-31 19:54 | Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $8.01 |
| 08-29 14:58 | Coventry City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-28 20:23 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 08-28 20:20 | Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-23 13:32 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.37 |
| 08-21 18:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3659204359 | $1.5k |
| 08-12 12:36 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $300.12 |
| 08-10 13:58 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? | BUY | 0.1123043478 | $25.83 |
| 08-10 13:57 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | SELL | 0.58 | $17.34 |
| 08-10 13:52 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.6156709831 | $212.05 |
| 08-10 13:51 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? | SELL | 0.071 | $45.54 |
| 08-10 13:51 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | SELL | 0.5274530973 | $178.81 |