Heisenberg15
0xf5cac4b26d94455e78af73cad362b5cc9791de9c
- Realised P&L
- $-28.5k
- Volume
- $101.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-28.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.738 | 0.071 | $2.6k | −$24.2k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.049 | $525.92 | −$2.5k |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.059 | $369.82 | −$1.6k |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.080 | $216.12 | −$583.88 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.055 | $166.92 | −$833.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.140 | $161.28 | −$338.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.770Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
- +$733.64at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$116.84at 0.910Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
- +$-467.50at 0.200Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
- +$-928.34at 0.189Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:52 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0092234473 | $27.81 |
| 05-24 07:05 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 05-21 05:36 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 02-02 14:18 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2697179566 | $669.41 |
| 01-31 19:08 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999998 | $700.00 |
| 01-31 19:08 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3296044745 | $1000.00 |
| 01-31 19:07 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1885458402 | $1000.00 |
| 01-31 19:07 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $500.00 |
| 01-31 19:06 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2961317786 | $800.00 |
| 01-31 19:05 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.434018359 | $500.00 |
| 01-31 19:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2766555462 | $3.0k |
| 01-31 19:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3295032407 | $1000.00 |
| 01-31 19:03 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3143142129 | $1000.00 |
| 01-31 19:02 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8134737946 | $25.4k |
| 07-19 21:41 | Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | SELL | 0.99 | $9.7k |