OreillyArray
0xf5bf8f8561e50a73ba929cef235f2133d517f57d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.33
- Volume
- $21.60
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? · No | 0.967 | 0.989 | $2.28 | +$0.05 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.984 | 0.990 | $1.08 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.960Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.05at 0.967US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska
- +$0.04at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 5?
- +$0.03at 0.980US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.988Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.07 |
| 09-16 20:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.966999987 | $2.23 |
| 09-08 12:38 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9879999972 | $2.86 |
| 09-08 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9569998971 | $1.46 |
| 09-08 12:32 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9879999959 | $1.91 |
| 09-02 01:09 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.81 |
| 09-02 01:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9849999966 | $2.87 |
| 09-02 01:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.65 |
| 09-02 01:05 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.9649995453 | $1.56 |
| 08-30 11:16 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9879999036 | $1.68 |
| 08-30 11:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.98999919 | $1.10 |