AlloyRuvia
0xf5bf582d027f608a6eff29542c9814a9fe325fb1
- Realised P&L
- $-37.55
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.940 | $1.1k | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.53at 0.032Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?
- +$658.66at 0.030Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
- +$83.60at 0.384Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$77.84at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$76.79at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 22:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $152.84 |
| 08-15 22:14 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-15 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9690038967 | $79.57 |
| 08-15 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.35 |
| 08-15 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $23.76 |
| 08-15 22:04 | Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 08-15 22:04 | Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula | BUY | 0.992 | $19.83 |
| 07-24 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6783166654 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999911 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3663119663 | $25.00 |