PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlloyRuvia

0xf5bf582d027f608a6eff29542c9814a9fe325fb1

Realised P&L
$-37.55
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.9500.940$1.1k$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 22:27Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.45$152.84
08-15 22:14Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.95$1.1k
08-15 22:11Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 16?BUY0.99$4.95
08-15 22:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?BUY0.9690038967$79.57
08-15 22:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?BUY0.96$11.35
08-15 22:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?BUY0.96$23.76
08-15 22:04Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Jessica PegulaBUY0.993$198.60
08-15 22:04Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Jessica PegulaBUY0.992$19.83
07-24 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5099999988$25.00
07-24 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.6783166654$25.00
07-24 22:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.2399999942$25.00
07-24 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.5299999936$25.00
07-24 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.6199999911$25.00
07-24 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.3699999938$25.00
07-24 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.3663119663$25.00