0xF5b3Ed89aF873B1c2A34Aaa2b9929dCd1Fbb644A-1772771996883
0xf5b3ed89af873b1c2a34aaa2b9929dcd1fbb644a
- Realised P&L
- $-96.02
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.075 | $3.85 | −$6.15 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.97at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$-15.00at 0.003Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 19:17 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.16 | $42.85 |
| 03-06 05:39 | Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.194760931 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3190049061 | $4.88 |
| 03-06 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2006305257 | $4.94 |
| 03-06 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $4.87 |
| 03-06 05:07 | Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $15.00 |
| 03-06 05:00 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3582089459 | $20.00 |