0xf5acb9b646cf357980d253ecfb55149def43e6df
0xf5acb9b646cf357980d253ecfb55149def43e6df
- Realised P&L
- $0.45
- Volume
- $15.99
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $6.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.725 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.825 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.550 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.255 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.160 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.691Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:47 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 12:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |