0xf5a631dbcb36ada29d988ac3ead3f89d0b873582
0xf5a631dbcb36ada29d988ac3ead3f89d0b873582
- Realised P&L
- $18.92
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $99.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.051 | $88.65 | −$7.34 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.920 | 1.000 | $10.87 | +$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.49at 0.364Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$-3.24at 0.268Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
- +$-3.77at 0.572Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 19:02 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0702565528 | $32.86 |
| 07-05 18:49 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496886895 | $63.13 |
| 05-20 18:28 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 05-20 12:23 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 05-17 09:17 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.5631296036 | $52.14 |
| 05-17 08:13 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-16 21:23 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $71.24 |
| 05-16 20:16 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 21:58 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2740718119 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 13:22 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |