PolyBot

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Traders

0xf5a631dbcb36ada29d988ac3ead3f89d0b873582

0xf5a631dbcb36ada29d988ac3ead3f89d0b873582

Realised P&L
$18.92
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$99.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.051$88.65−$7.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.9201.000$10.87+$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:56Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.919999919$10.00
07-05 19:02Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0702565528$32.86
07-05 18:49Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0496886895$63.13
05-20 18:28Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.27$54.00
05-20 12:23Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.25$50.00
05-17 09:17Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.5631296036$52.14
05-17 08:13Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
05-16 21:23Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.62$71.24
05-16 20:16Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
05-15 21:58Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2740718119$10.00
05-14 13:22Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699999915$10.00