0xf5a347a4db08820e08443c63c3738368d60d8878
0xf5a347a4db08820e08443c63c3738368d60d8878
- Realised P&L
- $-7.72
- Volume
- $218.54
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.495 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · No | 0.520 | 0.015 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.34at 0.227Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.330US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.382Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.530Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Friday roundtable?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:46 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:48 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:03 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:48 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:10 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |