0xf58b2ef663957df96Ab94De851222af023663980-1760514434255
0xf58b2ef663957df96ab94de851222af023663980
- Realised P&L
- $-351.93
- Volume
- $70.5k
- Markets traded
- 675
- Open portfolio
- $11.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded675
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Universitario win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.850 | 1.000 | $11.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will Hartlepool United FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.92at 0.314Will CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?
- +$26.80at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$26.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$22.64at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$19.78at 0.716Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:31 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:56 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.13 |
| 10-10 19:43 | Will FC Universitario win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:33 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:14 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 18:32 | Will Hartlepool United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.0037122419 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 15:26 | Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:45 | Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:45 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9839999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:45 | Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:47 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:45 | Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 11:44 | Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 10-10 01:31 | Will CA Unión win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 23:49 | Will Alianza FC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |