SKA
0xf5882e025e191012812194457ae86f2ffde11453
- Realised P&L
- $-238.87
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $103.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.580 | $58.00 | +$15.60 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.650 | $45.50 | +$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.07at 0.224MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$219.78at 0.041Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$107.85at 0.085Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$90.02at 0.099Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
- +$70.30at 0.230Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 13:47 | Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3304049973 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 08:56 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | SELL | 0.956 | $26.29 |
| 04-14 14:19 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $30.25 |
| 04-14 12:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999548 | $9.78 |
| 03-31 07:14 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 03-21 07:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.1399999934 | $17.00 |
| 03-12 16:31 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 19:21 | Will the US strike Cuba next? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 03-01 17:12 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999377 | $5.00 |
| 02-27 09:25 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 19:37 | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 20:23 | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |