PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

afafaf142

0xf5856d2ad251b8fe48c0a6cc67a9e32e1d7726d6

Realised P&L
$-8.32
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$0.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October? · Yes0.1600.001$0.05−$14.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 01:03Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.921$18.36
10-29 01:03Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.669$15.71
10-23 20:29Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6404295445$15.04
02-09 09:01Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?BUY0.53$10.60
01-27 14:07Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?BUY0.72$3.60
12-18 04:37Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?SELL0.994$10.52
12-18 04:37Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?BUY0.995$10.53
11-08 17:26Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.996$119.21
11-08 17:26Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.996$111.55
11-08 17:26Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.997$231.00
11-08 17:26 Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.996$111.19
11-08 17:26 Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.996$102.59
11-08 17:25 Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.997$214.00
11-08 17:25Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.997$85.18
11-08 17:25Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.997$135.59