0xe7246c5CB01a09AbeC07aF1803A8B63c533733C6-1768941745950
0xf57db3a002e9c0366db5250b38680bd87fbabf12
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $208.6k
- Markets traded
- 836
- Open portfolio
- $20.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded836
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.57at 0.763Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$39.21at 0.160Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$22.52at 0.103Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
- +$18.22at 0.323Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$17.05at 0.807Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.75 |
| 10-16 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.25 |
| 10-16 17:07 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.44 |
| 10-16 16:14 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.44 |
| 10-16 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 10-15 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.76 |
| 10-15 16:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.12 |
| 10-15 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.51 |
| 10-15 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.25 |
| 10-15 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 10-13 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 12:43 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik | SELL | 0.59 | $7.38 |
| 10-13 06:17 | Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $1.25 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.67 |
| 10-11 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.78 |