ambatukamehameha
0xf575b0371deff92876f11673ee4ae0711a33b5e7
- Realised P&L
- $412.28
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $61.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.055 | $61.69 | −$38.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.05at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$208.00at 0.755Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$109.12at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$97.37at 0.818Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$85.85at 0.862Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $107.69 |
| 09-12 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 16:22 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.83 | $102.46 |
| 09-06 15:12 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $142.71 |
| 08-17 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6376387347 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.9690708721 | $102.00 |
| 08-16 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $104.62 |
| 08-13 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9271259095 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $107.60 |
| 08-13 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.9357715887 | $106.85 |
| 08-11 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8757756504 | $100.00 |