PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

IllusionMaya

0xf572eecee7dcaf41be93ae426105d227c0f2c136

Realised P&L
$-17.02
Volume
$313.15
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$7.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1630.056$7.07$13.64
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0180.005$0.54$1.40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00$10.33
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 10:48Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.018$0.00
03-10 16:45Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.18$1.00
03-10 08:11Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.17$2.40
03-10 06:47Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.018$1.94
03-09 09:23Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.17$5.55
03-09 04:08Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.1617517957$4.05
03-08 08:25Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.1540071914$7.71
03-03 08:14Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.48$7.83
02-23 16:13Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.5$2.50
02-17 17:44Will Microsoft reach $480 in February?SELL0.946$0.09
02-12 08:00Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?SELL0.38$5.22
02-09 17:11Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?BUY0.32$8.80
02-09 16:32Will Microsoft reach $480 in February?BUY0.9199999043$5.00
02-09 16:20Will Microsoft reach $480 in February?BUY0.9199999043$5.00
02-03 11:07Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.6999999767$3.00