IllusionMaya
0xf572eecee7dcaf41be93ae426105d227c0f2c136
- Realised P&L
- $-17.02
- Volume
- $313.15
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.056 | $7.07 | −$13.64 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.005 | $0.54 | −$1.40 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.33 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.18at 0.320Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
- +$0.86at 0.920Will Microsoft reach $480 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-11 10:48 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.00 |
| 03-10 16:45 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 08:11 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.40 |
| 03-10 06:47 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.94 |
| 03-09 09:23 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.55 |
| 03-09 04:08 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1617517957 | $4.05 |
| 03-08 08:25 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1540071914 | $7.71 |
| 03-03 08:14 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.48 | $7.83 |
| 02-23 16:13 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 02-17 17:44 | Will Microsoft reach $480 in February? | SELL | 0.946 | $0.09 |
| 02-12 08:00 | Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.22 |
| 02-09 17:11 | Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.80 |
| 02-09 16:32 | Will Microsoft reach $480 in February? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 02-09 16:20 | Will Microsoft reach $480 in February? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 11:07 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |