0xf5726bf05da99affa0bf41b252a4efe3633c82c5
0xf5726bf05da99affa0bf41b252a4efe3633c82c5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.10
- Volume
- $84.39
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.979 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.365 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.045 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.004 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:52 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:24 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:11 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:06 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:28 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:36 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 01:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:48 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 23:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |