PolyBot

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Traders

qcp10

0xf571d53f888d98525021c14da4044da6e349d2dc

Realised P&L
$155.37
Volume
$31.3k
Markets traded
860
Open portfolio
$73.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded860
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? · No0.5400.655$14.57+$2.56
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0370.046$8.80+$1.79
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.7600.959$7.67+$1.59
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0340.082$7.56+$4.41
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0130.052$5.92+$4.39
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? · No0.3400.270$5.06−$1.31
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0800.190$3.80+$2.20
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0590.038$3.48−$1.86
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $511,000 and $515,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0230.029$2.00+$0.41
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0120.034$1.68+$1.10
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0680.039$1.58−$1.17
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0100.016$1.45+$0.54
Will the median home value in NYC be between $471,000 and $484,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0170.032$1.40+$0.64
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0100.017$1.27+$0.50
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0320.024$1.10−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?BUY0.08$1.60
11-01 11:55Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?BUY0.02$0.90
10-24 19:07Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?BUY0.065$1.10
10-22 16:11Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?BUY0.34$6.38
10-22 16:05Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?BUY0.0581682243$2.49
10-19 06:24Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?BUY0.53$6.00
10-17 05:20Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31?BUY0.097$3.14
10-17 05:19Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?BUY0.55$6.00
10-06 21:14Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?SELL0.21$0.16
09-29 13:05Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?BUY0.933$6.06
09-27 05:18Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?SELL0.031$0.06
09-22 14:17Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?SELL0.114$5.47
09-22 14:12Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?SELL0.278$2.50
09-09 14:11Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?SELL0.01$0.84
08-24 12:44Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?SELL0.003$0.17