qcp10
0xf571d53f888d98525021c14da4044da6e349d2dc
- Realised P&L
- $195.07
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 835
- Open portfolio
- $40.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded835
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.64at 0.219Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$54.87at 0.169Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Aoi Ito
- +$43.50at 0.130Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$42.69at 0.253Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$41.84at 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 14:11 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.84 |
| 08-24 12:44 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 08-21 10:08 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.98 |
| 08-18 06:20 | Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.16 |
| 08-18 06:19 | Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 08-10 09:23 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 08-10 09:22 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0354829721 | $1.15 |
| 08-10 09:19 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.12 |
| 08-08 03:17 | Will Cisco say "Capacity" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 07-31 11:06 | Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6 | $0.49 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.70 |
| 07-31 05:26 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.27 |
| 07-31 03:56 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.01 |
| 07-31 03:56 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.01 |
| 07-29 14:18 | Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |