PolyBot

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Traders

qcp10

0xf571d53f888d98525021c14da4044da6e349d2dc

Realised P&L
$195.07
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
835
Open portfolio
$40.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded835
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0480.707$13.91+$12.97
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.7600.964$7.71+$1.63
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0860.079$6.10$0.54
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0160.045$5.08+$3.28
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1130.406$3.66+$2.64
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0360.007$0.87$3.58
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0120.005$0.53$0.76
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0090.004$0.44$0.56
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $320,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0080.004$0.43$0.52
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0530.002$0.40$13.87
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0300.040$0.38+$0.09
Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0070.006$0.30$0.02
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0300.023$0.22$0.07
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0400.007$0.13$0.59
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0270.002$0.11$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 14:11Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?SELL0.01$0.84
08-24 12:44Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?SELL0.003$0.17
08-21 10:08Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?BUY0.11$0.98
08-18 06:20Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call?BUY0.39$6.16
08-18 06:19Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call?BUY0.39$1.17
08-10 09:23Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?BUY0.009$0.27
08-10 09:22Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?BUY0.0354829721$1.15
08-10 09:19Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?BUY0.011$0.12
08-08 03:17Will Cisco say "Capacity" during earnings call?BUY0.13$0.65
07-31 11:06Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call?BUY0.6$0.49
07-31 10:21Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call?BUY0.76$5.70
07-31 05:26Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call?BUY0.91$3.27
07-31 03:56Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call?BUY0.92$6.01
07-31 03:56Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call?BUY0.92$6.01
07-29 14:18Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?BUY0.14$1.68