qcp10
0xf571d53f888d98525021c14da4044da6e349d2dc
- Realised P&L
- $155.37
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 860
- Open portfolio
- $73.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded860
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.64at 0.219Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$54.87at 0.169Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Aoi Ito
- +$43.50at 0.130Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$42.69at 0.253Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$41.84at 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 11:55 | Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.90 |
| 10-24 19:07 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.10 |
| 10-22 16:11 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.38 |
| 10-22 16:05 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0581682243 | $2.49 |
| 10-19 06:24 | Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $6.00 |
| 10-17 05:20 | Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.097 | $3.14 |
| 10-17 05:19 | Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 21:14 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.16 |
| 09-29 13:05 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.933 | $6.06 |
| 09-27 05:18 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.06 |
| 09-22 14:17 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.114 | $5.47 |
| 09-22 14:12 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.278 | $2.50 |
| 09-09 14:11 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.84 |
| 08-24 12:44 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |