toasun
0xf56ceab1a41346c6d7381ad23be8a1eefab9e783
- Realised P&L
- $686.25
- Volume
- $206.3k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.92at 0.911Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$288.89at 0.874Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$270.68at 0.840United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
- +$264.92at 0.824Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$251.90at 0.552England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:48 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.81 | $83.66 |
| 10-25 15:16 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $64.17 |
| 10-25 01:44 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.989924879 | $1.9k |
| 10-24 13:15 | Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.9132956685 | $58.20 |
| 10-18 14:42 | Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 10-18 14:42 | Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 10-18 13:33 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.98 | $490.00 |
| 10-17 18:05 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.9899831286 | $289.28 |
| 10-17 18:02 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.9751889628 | $1.9k |
| 10-17 14:24 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.89 | $80.09 |
| 10-12 13:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-12 13:00 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9842132811 | $861.41 |
| 10-11 15:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.50 |
| 10-11 13:39 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0015100306 | $0.09 |
| 10-11 13:26 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $10.00 |