PolyBot

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Traders

toasun

0xf56ceab1a41346c6d7381ad23be8a1eefab9e783

Realised P&L
$686.25
Volume
$206.3k
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.9750.997$4.0k+$89.52
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · Yes0.9160.954$95.40+$3.83
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.715$42.79+$4.49
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 · Over0.8400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · France0.8900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3910.000$0.00−$348.11
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.8600.000$0.00−$20.00
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev0.2900.000$0.00−$30.00
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) · Steve Erceg0.4900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.12
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$6.18
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:48Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.81$83.66
10-25 15:16Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.76$64.17
10-25 01:44Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.989924879$1.9k
10-24 13:15Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?BUY0.9132956685$58.20
10-18 14:42Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)BUY0.969$48.45
10-18 14:42Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)BUY0.969$48.45
10-18 13:33Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.98$490.00
10-17 18:05Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9899831286$289.28
10-17 18:02Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.9751889628$1.9k
10-17 14:24Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.89$80.09
10-12 13:01Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.64$12.80
10-12 13:00Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9842132811$861.41
10-11 15:22Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.64$25.50
10-11 13:39Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.0015100306$0.09
10-11 13:26Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.1089999991$10.00