abcdev
0xf568fce20356b30aef2f36625ca8c49c11975abe
- Realised P&L
- $52.78
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.016 | $4.85 | −$5.14 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.004 | $3.47 | −$6.53 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.008 | $3.37 | −$6.63 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.004 | $1.08 | −$8.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.00at 0.020Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 00:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0329560481 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 00:11 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.0237510027 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 00:11 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0129663782 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 00:11 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0324935466 | $9.99 |
| 02-28 21:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $50.00 |