PolyBot

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Traders

simpleinvestor

0xf56710c938232eb3a18f4116519f02c12fa5d3ef

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$322.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$338.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.016$338.98$6.7k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$1.6k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$835.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 07:13Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.28$151.38
07-17 02:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.414$1.2k
07-16 13:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.42$126.00
07-07 12:04Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?BUY0.492534389$281.79
07-07 06:03Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?BUY0.5949815241$2.7k
07-03 11:32Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?SELL0.56$8.19
07-03 08:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3055844842$3.4k
06-30 05:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.35$111.80
06-30 00:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.358569086$1.4k
06-29 12:18US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.54$3.3k
06-29 12:06Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.59$1.8k
06-28 02:48US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$50.00
06-27 13:34Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.27$15.72
06-27 13:32Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$11.56
06-27 13:27Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$5.20