rdsantos
0xf565241b9f5b36da0cb33059a292551530bd1468
- Realised P&L
- $-51.75
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $24.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? · No | 0.138 | 0.489 | $20.98 | +$15.05 |
| Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.540 | $3.04 | −$0.11 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.004 | $0.10 | −$2.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.56at 0.780Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.940Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.150Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$-1.00at 0.260Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$-1.21at 0.056Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 19:37 | Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.15 |
| 08-15 19:36 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.72 |
| 08-15 19:36 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 08-15 19:36 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.54 |
| 05-31 18:38 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0542647059 | $3.69 |
| 05-31 18:35 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2781460772 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 18:35 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1119999904 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 20:06 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2454545455 | $2.67 |
| 03-25 20:02 | Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 20:02 | Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 15:01 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0889999664 | $2.23 |
| 03-03 01:25 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.22 |
| 03-01 23:27 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.1383735853 | $5.93 |
| 03-01 23:27 | Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.0728976351 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 23:20 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 2? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |