AMo
0xf562eeafb9acee72ec28e335ca7307fc54ed4099
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.815US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.256Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.575Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$948.89at 0.640Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$756.60at 0.977Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:01 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $278.80 |
| 10-15 10:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $20.37 |
| 10-12 21:31 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $332.59 |
| 09-29 22:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.89 |
| 09-29 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0119371761 | $3.80 |
| 09-29 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.397 | $11.91 |
| 09-29 21:01 | Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.1102215535 | $133.88 |
| 09-28 21:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $38.19 |
| 09-27 19:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4269155456 | $114.24 |
| 09-27 19:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2697560976 | $110.60 |
| 09-27 17:17 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $261.13 |
| 09-27 15:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.48 |
| 09-26 20:53 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.6738938357 | $235.37 |
| 09-26 07:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.434 | $12.59 |
| 09-21 12:08 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.1164532872 | $42.41 |